Guardian 01.26.13:
Nicholas Stern: 'I got it wrong on climate change – it's far, far worse'
Author of 2006 review speaks out on danger to economies as planet absorbs less carbon and is 'on track' for 4C rise
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http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/jan/27/nicholas-stern-climate-change-davos
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Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stern_Review
The
Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report
released for the British government on 30 October 2006 by economist
Nicholas Stern, chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate
Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and also
chair of the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy (CCCEP) at
Leeds University and LSE. The report discusses the effect of global
warming on the world economy. Although not the first economic report on
climate change, it is significant as the largest and most widely known
and discussed report of its kind.[1]
The Review states that
climate change is the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever
seen, presenting a unique challenge for economics.[2] The Review
provides prescriptions including environmental taxes to minimise the
economic and social disruptions. The Stern Review's main conclusion is
that the benefits of strong, early action on climate change far outweigh
the costs of not acting.[3] The Review points to the potential impacts
of climate change on water resources, food production, health, and the
environment[clarification needed]. According to the Review, without
action, the overall costs of climate change will be equivalent to losing
at least 5% of global gross domestic product (GDP) each year, now and
forever. Including a wider range of risks and impacts could increase
this to 20% of GDP or more, also indefinitely. Stern believes that 5-6
degrees of temperature increase is "a real possibility."[4]
The
Review proposes that one percent of global GDP per annum is required to
be invested in order to avoid the worst effects of climate change. In
June 2008, Stern increased the estimate for the annual cost of achieving
stabilisation between 500 and 550 ppm CO2e to 2% of GDP to account for
faster than expected climate change.[5]...
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